Score: 2

LangTime: A Language-Guided Unified Model for Time Series Forecasting with Proximal Policy Optimization

Published: March 11, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2503.08271v2

By: Wenzhe Niu , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun and more

Potential Business Impact:

Predicts future data trends more accurately.

Business Areas:
Natural Language Processing Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

Recent research has shown an increasing interest in utilizing pre-trained large language models (LLMs) for a variety of time series applications. However, there are three main challenges when using LLMs as foundational models for time series forecasting: (1) Cross-domain generalization. (2) Cross-modality alignment. (3) Error accumulation in autoregressive frameworks. To address these challenges, we proposed LangTime, a language-guided unified model for time series forecasting that incorporates cross-domain pre-training with reinforcement learning-based fine-tuning. Specifically, LangTime constructs Temporal Comprehension Prompts (TCPs), which include dataset-wise and channel-wise instructions, to facilitate domain adaptation and condense time series into a single token, enabling LLMs to understand better and align temporal data. To improve autoregressive forecasting, we introduce TimePPO, a reinforcement learning-based fine-tuning algorithm. TimePPO mitigates error accumulation by leveraging a multidimensional rewards function tailored for time series and a repeat-based value estimation strategy. Extensive experiments demonstrate that LangTime achieves state-of-the-art cross-domain forecasting performance, while TimePPO fine-tuning effectively enhances the stability and accuracy of autoregressive forecasting.

Repos / Data Links

Page Count
23 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)