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DeCaFlow: A Deconfounding Causal Generative Model

Published: March 19, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2503.15114v2

By: Alejandro Almodóvar , Adrián Javaloy , Juan Parras and more

Potential Business Impact:

Finds true causes even with hidden influences.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We introduce DeCaFlow, a deconfounding causal generative model. Training once per dataset using just observational data and the underlying causal graph, DeCaFlow enables accurate causal inference on continuous variables under the presence of hidden confounders. Specifically, we extend previous results on causal estimation under hidden confounding to show that a single instance of DeCaFlow provides correct estimates for all causal queries identifiable with do-calculus, leveraging proxy variables to adjust for the causal effects when do-calculus alone is insufficient. Moreover, we show that counterfactual queries are identifiable as long as their interventional counterparts are identifiable, and thus are also correctly estimated by DeCaFlow. Our empirical results on diverse settings (including the Ecoli70 dataset, with 3 independent hidden confounders, tens of observed variables and hundreds of causal queries) show that DeCaFlow outperforms existing approaches, while demonstrating its out-of-the-box applicability to any given causal graph. An implementation can be found in https://github.com/aalmodovares/DeCaFlow

Country of Origin
🇪🇸 🇬🇧 Spain, United Kingdom

Page Count
46 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)