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Asymptotic analysis of the finite predictor for the fractional Gaussian noise

Published: April 2, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2504.01562v1

By: P. Chigansky, M. Kleptsyna

Potential Business Impact:

Predicts future data more accurately, even complex patterns.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

The goal of this paper is to propose a new approach to asymptotic analysis of the finite predictor for stationary sequences. It produces the exact asymptotics of the relative prediction error and the partial correlation coefficients. The assumptions are analytic in nature and applicable to processes with long range dependence. The ARIMA type process driven by the fractional Gaussian noise (fGn), which previously remained elusive, serves as our study case.

Page Count
57 pages

Category
Mathematics:
Statistics Theory