Modeling Charging Demand and Quantifying Flexibility Bounds for Large-Scale BEV Fleets

This paper presents a bottom-up method to model baseline charging power demand and quantify available flexibility for large-scale BEV fleets. The method utilizes geographic and sociodemographic information to represent the fleet's mobility and driving energy needs. It models the charging decisions of drivers based on their driving energy needs and range comfort level using real-world data. The flexibility quantification provides an hourly maximum and minimum bound for the charging power and limits the amount of daily flexible charging energy. We apply the methodology to the future fully electrified fleet of Switzerland as a case study and compare the spatio-temporal characteristics of the charging demand and flexibility of different geographic areas and urbanization levels.