Testing of tempered fractional Brownian motions
By: Katarzyna Macioszek, Farzad Sabzikar, Krzysztof Burnecki
Potential Business Impact:
Finds hidden patterns in moving things.
We propose here a testing methodology based on the autocovariance, detrended moving average, and time-averaged mean-squared displacement statistics for tempered fractional Brownian motions (TFBMs) which are related to the notions of semi-long range dependence and transient anomalous diffusion. In this framework, we consider three types of TFBMs: two with a tempering factor incorporated into their moving-average representation, and one with a tempering parameter added to the autocorrelation formula. We illustrate their dynamics with the use of quantile lines. Using the proposed methodology, we provide a comprehensive power analysis of the tests. It appears that the tests allow distinguishing between the tempered processes with different Hurst parameters.
Similar Papers
Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility with Multivariate Fractional Brownian Motion
Statistical Finance
Predicts stock prices better using math.
Geometric Rough Paths above Mixed Fractional Brownian Motion
Probability
Makes math models of messy, wiggly paths.
On the Gaussian distribution of the Mann-Kendall tau in the case of autocorrelated data
Methodology
Finds when math tests for trends are wrong.