Data assimilation with model errors
By: Aytekin Çibik , Rui Fang , William Layton and more
Potential Business Impact:
Fixes computer weather forecasts when they are wrong.
Nudging is a data assimilation method amenable to both analysis and implementation. It also has the (reported) advantage of being insensitive to model errors compared to other assimilation methods. However, nudging behavior in the presence of model errors is little analyzed. This report gives an analysis of nudging to correct model errors. The analysis indicates that the error contribution due to the model error decays as the nudging parameter $\chi \to \infty$ like $\mathcal{O}(\chi^{-\frac{1}{2}})$, Theorem 3.2. Numerical tests verify the predicted convergence rates and validate the nudging correction to model errors.
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