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Statistical Guarantees in Synthetic Data through Conformal Adversarial Generation

Published: April 23, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2504.17058v3

By: Rahul Vishwakarma, Shrey Dharmendra Modi, Vishwanath Seshagiri

Potential Business Impact:

Makes fake data trustworthy for important jobs.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

The generation of high-quality synthetic data presents significant challenges in machine learning research, particularly regarding statistical fidelity and uncertainty quantification. Existing generative models produce compelling synthetic samples but lack rigorous statistical guarantees about their relation to the underlying data distribution, limiting their applicability in critical domains requiring robust error bounds. We address this fundamental limitation by presenting a novel framework that incorporates conformal prediction methodologies into Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). By integrating multiple conformal prediction paradigms including Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP), Mondrian Conformal Prediction, Cross-Conformal Prediction, and Venn-Abers Predictors, we establish distribution-free uncertainty quantification in generated samples. This approach, termed Conformalized GAN (cGAN), demonstrates enhanced calibration properties while maintaining the generative power of traditional GANs, producing synthetic data with provable statistical guarantees. We provide rigorous mathematical proofs establishing finite-sample validity guarantees and asymptotic efficiency properties, enabling the reliable application of synthetic data in high-stakes domains including healthcare, finance, and autonomous systems.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Page Count
6 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)