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A Taylor Series Approach to Correction of Input Errors in Gaussian Process Regression

Published: April 25, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2504.18463v1

By: Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell and more

Potential Business Impact:

Fixes computer predictions when location data is wrong.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject to zero-mean noise. However, several real-world applications such as mobile sensors have imperfect localization, leading to inputs with biased errors. These biases can typically be estimated through measurements collected over time using, for example, Kalman filters. To avoid recomputation of the entire GP model when better estimates of the inputs used in the training data become available, we introduce a technique for updating a trained GP model to incorporate updated estimates of the inputs. By leveraging the differentiability of the mean and covariance functions derived from the squared exponential kernel, a second-order correction algorithm is developed to update the trained GP models. Precomputed Jacobians and Hessians of kernels enable real-time refinement of the mean and covariance predictions. The efficacy of the developed approach is demonstrated using two simulation studies, with error analyses revealing improvements in both predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Page Count
8 pages

Category
Electrical Engineering and Systems Science:
Systems and Control