Is Stephen Curry really a guard? New perspective on players typology using functional data analysis
By: Steven Golovkine, Edward Gunning
Potential Business Impact:
Shows how basketball players shoot differently.
We present a novel representation of NBA players' shooting patterns based on Functional Data Analysis (FDA). Each player's charts of made and missed shots are treated as smooth functional data defined over a two-dimensional domain corresponding to the offensive half-court. This continuous representation enables a parsimonious multivariate functional principal components analysis (MFPCA) decomposition, producing a set of common principal component functions that capture the primary modes of variability in shooting patterns, along with player-specific scores that quantify individual deviations from the average behavior. We first interpret the principal component functions to characterize the main sources of variation in shooting tendencies. We then apply $k$-medoids clustering to the principal component scores to construct a data-driven taxonomy of players. Comparing our empirical clusters to conventional NBA position labels reveals low agreement, suggesting that our shooting-pattern representation might capture aspects of playing style not fully reflected in official designations. The proposed methodology provides a flexible, interpretable, and continuous framework for analyzing player tendencies, with potential applications in coaching, scouting, and historical player or match comparisons.
Similar Papers
How do the professional players select their shot locations? An analysis of Field Goal Attempts via Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
Applications
Helps basketball players shoot better by showing where to take shots.
What Influences the Field Goal Attempts of Professional Players? Analysis of Basketball Shot Charts via Log Gaussian Cox Processes with Spatially Varying Coefficients
Methodology
Finds best basketball shots using math.
Commanding the Foul Shot: A New Ensemble of Free Throw Metrics
Applications
Measures how good basketball players shoot.