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Sampling conditioned diffusions via Pathspace Projected Monte Carlo

Published: June 17, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2506.15743v1

By: Tobias Grafke

Potential Business Impact:

Guides random paths to follow specific rules.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We present an algorithm to sample stochastic differential equations conditioned on rather general constraints, including integral constraints, endpoint constraints, and stochastic integral constraints. The algorithm is a pathspace Metropolis-adjusted manifold sampling scheme, which samples stochastic paths on the submanifold of realizations that adhere to the conditioning constraint. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm by sampling a dynamical condensation phase transition, conditioning a random walk on a fixed Levy stochastic area, conditioning a stochastic nonlinear wave equation on high amplitude waves, and sampling a stochastic partial differential equation model of turbulent pipe flow conditioned on relaminarization events.

Page Count
15 pages

Category
Statistics:
Machine Learning (Stat)