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Weighted Parameter Estimators of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution in the Presence of Missing Observations

Published: June 19, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2506.15964v2

By: James H. McVittie, Orla A. Murphy

Potential Business Impact:

Fixes broken data for better flood predictions.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

Missing data occur in a variety of applications of extreme value analysis. In the block maxima approach to an extreme value analysis, missingness is often handled by either ignoring missing observations or dropping a block of observations from the analysis. However, in some cases, missingness may occur due to equipment failure during an extreme event, which can lead to bias in estimation. In this work, we propose weighted maximum likelihood and weighted moment-based estimators for the generalized extreme value distribution parameters to account for the presence of missing observations. We validate the procedures through an extensive simulation study and apply the estimation methods to data from multiple tidal gauges on the Eastern coast of Canada.

Country of Origin
🇨🇦 Canada

Page Count
21 pages

Category
Statistics:
Methodology