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Diffusion-Based Hypothesis Testing and Change-Point Detection

Published: June 19, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2506.16089v1

By: Sean Moushegian, Taposh Banerjee, Vahid Tarokh

Potential Business Impact:

Makes computer predictions more accurate for data changes.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

Score-based methods have recently seen increasing popularity in modeling and generation. Methods have been constructed to perform hypothesis testing and change-point detection with score functions, but these methods are in general not as powerful as their likelihood-based peers. Recent works consider generalizing the score-based Fisher divergence into a diffusion-divergence by transforming score functions via multiplication with a matrix-valued function or a weight matrix. In this paper, we extend the score-based hypothesis test and change-point detection stopping rule into their diffusion-based analogs. Additionally, we theoretically quantify the performance of these diffusion-based algorithms and study scenarios where optimal performance is achievable. We propose a method of numerically optimizing the weight matrix and present numerical simulations to illustrate the advantages of diffusion-based algorithms.

Page Count
24 pages

Category
Statistics:
Machine Learning (Stat)