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Dynamic Asset Pricing with α-MEU Model

Published: July 5, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2507.04093v2

By: Jiacheng Fan, Xue Dong He, Ruocheng Wu

Potential Business Impact:

Makes stock prices change based on uncertainty.

Business Areas:
Prediction Markets Financial Services

We study a dynamic asset pricing problem in which a representative agent is ambiguous about the aggregate endowment growth rate and trades a risky stock, human capital, and a risk-free asset to maximize her preference value of consumption represented by the α-maxmin expected utility model. This preference model is known to be dynamically inconsistent, so we consider intra-personal equilibrium strategies for the representative agent and define the market equilibrium as the one in which the strategy that clears the market is an intra-personal equilibrium. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the market equilibrium and show that the asset prices in the equilibrium are the same as in the case when the agent does not perceive any ambiguity but believes in a particular probabilistic model of the endowment process. We show that with reasonable parameter values, the more ambiguity the agent perceives or the more ambiguity-averse she is, the lower the risk-free rate, the higher the stock price, the higher the stock risk premium, and the lower the stock volatility.

Country of Origin
🇭🇰 Hong Kong

Page Count
50 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Pricing of Securities