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Pathwise analysis of log-optimal portfolios

Published: July 24, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2507.18232v1

By: Andrew L. Allan , Anna P. Kwossek , Chong Liu and more

Potential Business Impact:

Helps investors pick the best stocks for their money.

Based on the theory of c\`adl\`ag rough paths, we develop a pathwise approach to analyze stability and approximation properties of portfolios along individual price trajectories generated by standard models of financial markets. As a prototypical example from portfolio theory, we study the log-optimal portfolio in a classical investment-consumption optimization problem on a frictionless financial market modelled by an It\^o diffusion process. We identify a fully deterministic framework that enables a pathwise construction of the log-optimal portfolio, for which we then establish pathwise stability estimates with respect to the underlying model parameters. We also derive pathwise error estimates arising from the time-discretization of the log-optimal portfolio and its associated capital process.

Page Count
45 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Mathematical Finance