Score: 2

Structured Agentic Workflows for Financial Time-Series Modeling with LLMs and Reflective Feedback

Published: August 19, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2508.13915v1

By: Yihao Ang , Yifan Bao , Lei Jiang and more

Potential Business Impact:

Helps computers predict money changes better.

Business Areas:
Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

Time-series data is central to decision-making in financial markets, yet building high-performing, interpretable, and auditable models remains a major challenge. While Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) frameworks streamline model development, they often lack adaptability and responsiveness to domain-specific needs and evolving objectives. Concurrently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled agentic systems capable of reasoning, memory management, and dynamic code generation, offering a path toward more flexible workflow automation. In this paper, we introduce \textsf{TS-Agent}, a modular agentic framework designed to automate and enhance time-series modeling workflows for financial applications. The agent formalizes the pipeline as a structured, iterative decision process across three stages: model selection, code refinement, and fine-tuning, guided by contextual reasoning and experimental feedback. Central to our architecture is a planner agent equipped with structured knowledge banks, curated libraries of models and refinement strategies, which guide exploration, while improving interpretability and reducing error propagation. \textsf{TS-Agent} supports adaptive learning, robust debugging, and transparent auditing, key requirements for high-stakes environments such as financial services. Empirical evaluations on diverse financial forecasting and synthetic data generation tasks demonstrate that \textsf{TS-Agent} consistently outperforms state-of-the-art AutoML and agentic baselines, achieving superior accuracy, robustness, and decision traceability.

Country of Origin
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬ United Kingdom, Singapore

Page Count
9 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Artificial Intelligence