Reading minds on the road: decoding perceived risk in automated vehicles through 140K+ ratings
By: Xiaolin He , Zirui Li , Xinwei Wang and more
Potential Business Impact:
Makes self-driving cars understand rider fear.
Perceived risk in automated vehicles (AVs) can create the very danger that automation is meant to prevent: a frightened rider may hesitate when seconds matter, misjudge hazards, or disengage. However, measuring how perceived risk evolves in real time during driving remains challenging, leaving a gap in decoding such hidden psychological states. Here, we present a novel method to time-continuously measure and decode perceived risk. We conducted a controlled experiment where 2,164 participants viewed high-fidelity videos of common highway driving scenes and provided 141,628 discrete safety ratings. Through continuous-signal reconstruction of the discrete ratings, we obtained 236 hours of time-continuous perceived risk data - the largest perceived risk dataset to date. Leveraging this dataset, we trained deep neural networks that predict moment-by-moment perceived risk from vehicle kinematics with a mean relative error below $3\%$. Explainable AI analysis uncovers which factors determine perceived risk in real time. Our findings demonstrate a new paradigm for quantifying dynamic passenger experience and psychological constructs in real time. These findings can guide the design of AVs and other machines that operate in close proximity to people, adjusting behaviour before trust erodes, and help realise automation's benefits in transport, healthcare, and service robotics.
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