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Simultaneous Detection and Localization of Mean and Covariance Changes in High Dimensions

Published: August 27, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2508.19523v1

By: Junfeng Cui , Guangming Pan , Guanghui Wang and more

Potential Business Impact:

Finds when data changes in multiple ways.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

Existing methods for high-dimensional changepoint detection and localization typically focus on changes in either the mean vector or the covariance matrix separately. This separation reduces detection power and localization accuracy when both parameters change simultaneously. We propose a simple yet powerful method that jointly monitors shifts in both the mean and covariance structures. Under mild conditions, the test statistics for detecting these shifts jointly converge in distribution to a bivariate standard normal distribution, revealing their asymptotic independence. This independence enables the combination of the individual p-values using Fisher's method, and the development of an adaptive p-value-based estimator for the changepoint. Theoretical analysis and extensive simulations demonstrate the superior performance of our method in terms of both detection power and localization accuracy.

Page Count
62 pages

Category
Mathematics:
Statistics Theory