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Uncertainty Under the Curve: A Sequence-Level Entropy Area Metric for Reasoning LLM

Published: August 28, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2508.20384v1

By: Yongfu Zhu , Lin Sun , Guangxiang Zhao and more

Potential Business Impact:

Helps AI learn better by spotting confusing answers.

Business Areas:
Semantic Search Internet Services

In this work, we introduce Entropy Area Score (EAS), a simple yet effective metric to quantify uncertainty in the answer generation process of reasoning large language models (LLMs). EAS requires neither external models nor repeated sampling, it integrates token-level predictive entropy from the model itself to capture the evolution of uncertainty during generation. Empirical results show that EAS is strongly correlated with answer entropy across models and datasets. In training data selection, EAS identifies high-potential samples and consistently outperforms Pass Rate filtering under equal sample budgets, improving student model accuracy on math benchmarks. EAS is both efficient and interpretable, offering a practical tool for uncertainty modeling and data quality assessment in LLM training.

Page Count
8 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Artificial Intelligence