Score: 0

Feedback-Enhanced Online Multiple Testing with Applications to Conformal Selection

Published: September 3, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2509.03297v1

By: Lin Lu , Yuyang Huo , Haojie Ren and more

Potential Business Impact:

Improves computer decisions with new feedback.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We study online multiple testing with feedback, where decisions are made sequentially and the true state of the hypothesis is revealed after the decision has been made, either instantly or with a delay. We propose GAIF, a feedback-enhanced generalized alpha-investing framework that dynamically adjusts thresholds using revealed outcomes, ensuring finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR)/marginal FDR control. Extending GAIF to online conformal testing, we construct independent conformal $p$-values and introduce a feedback-driven model selection criterion to identify the best model/score, thereby improving statistical power. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods through numerical simulations and real-data applications.

Country of Origin
🇨🇳 China

Page Count
57 pages

Category
Statistics:
Methodology