Score: 2

CountTRuCoLa: Rule Confidence Learning for Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting

Published: September 11, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2509.09474v1

By: Julia Gastinger, Christian Meilicke, Heiner Stuckenschmidt

Potential Business Impact:

Predicts future facts with easy-to-understand rules.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

We address the task of temporal knowledge graph (TKG) forecasting by introducing a fully explainable method based on temporal rules. Motivated by recent work proposing a strong baseline using recurrent facts, our approach learns four simple types of rules with a confidence function that considers both recency and frequency. Evaluated on nine datasets, our method matches or surpasses the performance of eight state-of-the-art models and two baselines, while providing fully interpretable predictions.

Repos / Data Links

Page Count
9 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)