Score: 2

Super-Linear: A Lightweight Pretrained Mixture of Linear Experts for Time Series Forecasting

Published: September 18, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2509.15105v1

By: Liran Nochumsohn , Raz Marshanski , Hedi Zisling and more

Potential Business Impact:

Predicts future events faster and more accurately.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

Time series forecasting (TSF) is critical in domains like energy, finance, healthcare, and logistics, requiring models that generalize across diverse datasets. Large pre-trained models such as Chronos and Time-MoE show strong zero-shot (ZS) performance but suffer from high computational costs. In this work, We introduce Super-Linear, a lightweight and scalable mixture-of-experts (MoE) model for general forecasting. It replaces deep architectures with simple frequency-specialized linear experts, trained on resampled data across multiple frequency regimes. A lightweight spectral gating mechanism dynamically selects relevant experts, enabling efficient, accurate forecasting. Despite its simplicity, Super-Linear matches state-of-the-art performance while offering superior efficiency, robustness to various sampling rates, and enhanced interpretability. The implementation of Super-Linear is available at \href{https://github.com/azencot-group/SuperLinear}{https://github.com/azencot-group/SuperLinear}

Country of Origin
🇮🇱 Israel

Repos / Data Links

Page Count
28 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)