SDGF: Fusing Static and Multi-Scale Dynamic Correlations for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
By: Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li and more
Potential Business Impact:
Predicts future events by seeing patterns across time.
Inter-series correlations are crucial for accurate multivariate time series forecasting, yet these relationships often exhibit complex dynamics across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to capture their intricate and evolving nature. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a novel Static-Dynamic Graph Fusion network (SDGF), whose core lies in capturing multi-scale inter-series correlations through a dual-path graph structure learning approach. Specifically, the model utilizes a static graph based on prior knowledge to anchor long-term, stable dependencies, while concurrently employing Multi-level Wavelet Decomposition to extract multi-scale features for constructing an adaptively learned dynamic graph to capture associations at different scales. We design an attention-gated module to fuse these two complementary sources of information intelligently, and a multi-kernel dilated convolutional network is then used to deepen the understanding of temporal patterns. Comprehensive experiments on multiple widely used real-world benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed model.
Similar Papers
A Dynamic Stiefel Graph Neural Network for Efficient Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting
Machine Learning (CS)
Predicts future events by understanding time and place.
Dynamic Graph Structure Estimation for Learning Multivariate Point Process using Spiking Neural Networks
Machine Learning (CS)
Learns how events connect to predict future happenings.
Inferring Dynamic Hidden Graph Structure in Heterogeneous Correlated Time Series
Methodology
Finds hidden connections between changing signals.