One Person, How Many Votes? Demographic Distortions in United States Elections
By: Lee Kennedy-Shaffer
Potential Business Impact:
Shows how votes are unfairly counted.
Representative democracy in the United States relies on election systems that transmit votes into representatives in three key bodies: the two chambers of the federal legislature (House of Representatives and Senate) and the Electoral College, which selects the President and Vice-President. This happens through a process of re-weighting based on geographic units (congressional districts and states) that can introduce substantial distortion. In this paper, I propose quantitative measures of this distortion that can be applied to demographic groups, using Census data, to assess and visualize these distortive effects. These include the absolute weight of votes under these systems and the excess population represented in the bodies through the distortions. Visualizing these metrics from 2000 -- 2020 shows persistent malapportionment in key demographic categories. White (non-Hispanic) residents, residents of rural areas, and owner-occupied households are overrepresented in the Senate and Electoral College; Black and Hispanic people, urban dwellers, and renter-occupied households are underrepresented. For urban residents, this underrepresentation is the equivalent of 25 million fewer residents in the Senate and nearly 5 million in the Electoral College. I discuss implications for further research on the effects of these distortions and their interactions with other features of the electoral system.
Similar Papers
Gerrymandering and geographic polarization have reduced electoral competition
Applications
Changes in voting maps make elections less fair.
A Dataset of the Representatives Elected in France During the Fifth Republic
Social and Information Networks
Organizes French politician data for better understanding.
Political Power and Mortality: Heterogeneous Effects of the U.S. Voting Rights Act
General Economics
Voting rights saved children's lives, but stressed some adults.