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Edit-Based Flow Matching for Temporal Point Processes

Published: October 7, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.06050v2

By: David Lüdke , Marten Lienen , Marcel Kollovieh and more

Potential Business Impact:

Makes predicting event times faster and more flexible.

Business Areas:
Transaction Processing Financial Services, Payments, Software

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are a fundamental tool for modeling event sequences in continuous time, but most existing approaches rely on autoregressive parameterizations that are limited by their sequential sampling. Recent non-autoregressive, diffusion-style models mitigate these issues by jointly interpolating between noise and data through event insertions and deletions in a discrete Markov chain. In this work, we generalize this perspective and introduce an Edit Flow process for TPPs that transports noise to data via insert, delete, and substitute edit operations. By learning the instantaneous edit rates within a continuous-time Markov chain framework, we attain a flexible and efficient model that effectively reduces the total number of necessary edit operations during generation. Empirical results demonstrate the generative flexibility of our unconditionally trained model in a wide range of unconditional and conditional generation tasks on benchmark TPPs.

Country of Origin
🇩🇪 Germany

Page Count
15 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)