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Evaluating and Learning Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes under Truncation by Death

Published: October 8, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.07501v1

By: Sihyung Park, Wenbin Lu, Shu Yang

Potential Business Impact:

Helps doctors choose best treatments for sick patients.

Business Areas:
Clinical Trials Health Care

Truncation by death, a prevalent challenge in critical care, renders traditional dynamic treatment regime (DTR) evaluation inapplicable due to ill-defined potential outcomes. We introduce a principal stratification-based method, focusing on the always-survivor value function. We derive a semiparametrically efficient, multiply robust estimator for multi-stage DTRs, demonstrating its robustness and efficiency. Empirical validation and an application to electronic health records showcase its utility for personalized treatment optimization.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Page Count
30 pages

Category
Statistics:
Machine Learning (Stat)