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On weak convergence of Gaussian conditional distributions

Published: October 14, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.12412v1

By: Sarah Lumpp, Mathias Drton

Potential Business Impact:

Makes math work for tricky computer predictions.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

Weak convergence of joint distributions generally does not imply convergence of conditional distributions. In particular, conditional distributions need not converge when joint Gaussian distributions converge to a singular Gaussian limit. Algebraically, this is due to the fact that at singular covariance matrices, Schur complements are not continuous functions of the matrix entries. Our results lay out special conditions under which convergence of Gaussian conditional distributions nevertheless occurs, and we exemplify how this allows one to reason about conditional independence in a new class of graphical models.

Page Count
13 pages

Category
Mathematics:
Statistics Theory