Bayesian Inference for Single-factor Graphical Models
By: David Marcano, Adrian Dobra
Potential Business Impact:
Finds hidden patterns in related data.
We introduce efficient MCMC algorithms for Bayesian inference for single-factor models with correlated residuals where the residuals' distribution is a Gaussian graphical model. We call this family of models single-factor graphical models. We extend single-factor graphical models to datasets that also involve binary and ordinal categorical variables and to the modeling of multiple datasets that are spatially or temporally related. Our models are able to capture multivariate associations through latent factors across time and space, as well as residual conditional dependence structures at each spatial location or time point through Gaussian graphical models. We illustrate the application of single-factor graphical models in simulated and real-world examples.
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