Score: 2

The Variance-Gamma Process for Option Pricing

Published: October 15, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.14093v1

By: Rohan Shenoy, Peter Kempthorne

BigTech Affiliations: Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Potential Business Impact:

Better stock predictions by understanding price changes.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

This paper explores the concept of random-time subordination in modelling stock-price dynamics, and We first present results on the Laplace distribution as a Gaussian variance-mixture, in particular a more efficient volatility estimation procedure through the absolute moments. We generalise the Laplace model to characterise the powerful variance gamma model of Madan et al. as a Gamma time-subordinated Brownian motion to price European call options via an Esscher transform method. We find that the Variance Gamma model is able to empirically explain excess kurtosis found in log-returns data, rejecting a Black-Scholes assumption in a hypothesis test.

Country of Origin
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United Kingdom, United States

Page Count
29 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Mathematical Finance