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A Geometric Approach to Optimal Experimental Design

Published: October 16, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.14848v1

By: Gavin Kerrigan, Christian A. Naesseth, Tom Rainforth

Potential Business Impact:

Finds the best way to test ideas.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We introduce a novel geometric framework for optimal experimental design (OED). Traditional OED approaches, such as those based on mutual information, rely explicitly on probability densities, leading to restrictive invariance properties. To address these limitations, we propose the mutual transport dependence (MTD), a measure of statistical dependence grounded in optimal transport theory which provides a geometric objective for optimizing designs. Unlike conventional approaches, the MTD can be tailored to specific downstream estimation problems by choosing appropriate geometries on the underlying spaces. We demonstrate that our framework produces high-quality designs while offering a flexible alternative to standard information-theoretic techniques.

Country of Origin
🇬🇧 United Kingdom

Repos / Data Links

Page Count
24 pages

Category
Statistics:
Machine Learning (Stat)