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Quantum and Classical Machine Learning in Decentralized Finance: Comparative Evidence from Multi-Asset Backtesting of Automated Market Makers

Published: September 14, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.15903v1

By: Chi-Sheng Chen, Aidan Hung-Wen Tsai

Potential Business Impact:

Quantum computers help make more money trading crypto.

Business Areas:
Quantum Computing Science and Engineering

This study presents a comprehensive empirical comparison between quantum machine learning (QML) and classical machine learning (CML) approaches in Automated Market Makers (AMM) and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) trading strategies through extensive backtesting on 10 models across multiple cryptocurrency assets. Our analysis encompasses classical ML models (Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Logistic Regression), pure quantum models (VQE Classifier, QNN, QSVM), hybrid quantum-classical models (QASA Hybrid, QASA Sequence, QuantumRWKV), and transformer models. The results demonstrate that hybrid quantum models achieve superior overall performance with 11.2\% average return and 1.42 average Sharpe ratio, while classical ML models show 9.8\% average return and 1.47 average Sharpe ratio. The QASA Sequence hybrid model achieves the highest individual return of 13.99\% with the best Sharpe ratio of 1.76, demonstrating the potential of quantum-classical hybrid approaches in AMM and DeFi trading strategies.

Page Count
14 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Statistical Finance