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The Omniscient, yet Lazy, Investor

Published: October 28, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.24467v1

By: Stanisław M. S. Halkiewicz

Potential Business Impact:

Finds best times to buy and sell stocks.

Business Areas:
Prediction Markets Financial Services

We formalize the paradox of an omniscient yet lazy investor - a perfectly informed agent who trades infrequently due to execution or computational frictions. Starting from a deterministic geometric construction, we derive a closed-form expected profit function linking trading frequency, execution cost, and path roughness. We prove existence and uniqueness of the optimal trading frequency and show that this optimum can be interpreted through the fractal dimension of the price path. A stochastic extension under fractional Brownian motion provides analytical expressions for the optimal interval and comparative statics with respect to the Hurst exponent. Empirical illustrations on equity data confirm the theoretical scaling behavior.

Country of Origin
🇵🇱 Poland

Page Count
22 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Trading & Market Microstructure