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Dual Mixture-of-Experts Framework for Discrete-Time Survival Analysis

Published: October 29, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.26014v1

By: Hyeonjun Lee , Hyungseob Shin , Gunhee Nam and more

Potential Business Impact:

Helps doctors predict how long patients will live.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

Survival analysis is a task to model the time until an event of interest occurs, widely used in clinical and biomedical research. A key challenge is to model patient heterogeneity while also adapting risk predictions to both individual characteristics and temporal dynamics. We propose a dual mixture-of-experts (MoE) framework for discrete-time survival analysis. Our approach combines a feature-encoder MoE for subgroup-aware representation learning with a hazard MoE that leverages patient features and time embeddings to capture temporal dynamics. This dual-MoE design flexibly integrates with existing deep learning based survival pipelines. On METABRIC and GBSG breast cancer datasets, our method consistently improves performance, boosting the time-dependent C-index up to 0.04 on the test sets, and yields further gains when incorporated into the Consurv framework.

Page Count
6 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)