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Estimation and Inference in Boundary Discontinuity Designs: Distance-Based Methods

Published: October 30, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.26051v1

By: Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi and more

Potential Business Impact:

Helps understand how treatments affect people differently.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We study the statistical properties of nonparametric distance-based (isotropic) local polynomial regression estimators of the boundary average treatment effect curve, a key causal functional parameter capturing heterogeneous treatment effects in boundary discontinuity designs. We present necessary and/or sufficient conditions for identification, estimation, and inference in large samples, both pointwise and uniformly along the boundary. Our theoretical results highlight the crucial role played by the ``regularity'' of the boundary (a one-dimensional manifold) over which identification, estimation, and inference are conducted. Our methods are illustrated with simulated data. Companion general-purpose software is provided.

Page Count
75 pages

Category
Economics:
Econometrics