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Discovering EV Charging Site Archetypes Through Few Shot Forecasting: The First U.S.-Wide Study

Published: October 30, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2510.26910v1

By: Kshitij Nikhal , Luke Ackerknecht , Benjamin S. Riggan and more

Potential Business Impact:

Helps electric cars charge without breaking the power grid.

Business Areas:
Electric Vehicle Transportation

The decarbonization of transportation relies on the widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), which requires an accurate understanding of charging behavior to ensure cost-effective, grid-resilient infrastructure. Existing work is constrained by small-scale datasets, simple proximity-based modeling of temporal dependencies, and weak generalization to sites with limited operational history. To overcome these limitations, this work proposes a framework that integrates clustering with few-shot forecasting to uncover site archetypes using a novel large-scale dataset of charging demand. The results demonstrate that archetype-specific expert models outperform global baselines in forecasting demand at unseen sites. By establishing forecast performance as a basis for infrastructure segmentation, we generate actionable insights that enable operators to lower costs, optimize energy and pricing strategies, and support grid resilience critical to climate goals.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Page Count
8 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)