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Polynomial Mixing Times of Simulated Tempering for Mixture Targets by Conductance Decomposition

Published: November 1, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.00708v1

By: Quan Zhou

Potential Business Impact:

Makes computer models find hidden patterns faster.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We study the theoretical complexity of simulated tempering for sampling from mixtures of log-concave components differing only by location shifts. The main result establishes the first polynomial-time guarantee for simulated tempering combined with the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) with respect to the problem dimension $d$, maximum mode displacement $D$, and logarithmic accuracy $\log \epsilon^{-1}$. The proof builds on a general state decomposition theorem for $s$-conductance, applied to an auxiliary Markov chain constructed on an augmented space. We also obtain an improved complexity estimate for simulated tempering combined with random-walk Metropolis. Our bounds assume an inverse-temperature ladder with smallest value $\beta_1 = O(D^{-2})$ and spacing $\beta_{i+1}/\beta_i = 1 + O( d^{-1/2} )$, both of which are shown to be asymptotically optimal up to logarithmic factors.

Page Count
37 pages

Category
Statistics:
Computation