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Liquidity Shocks, Homeownership, and Income Inequality: Impact of Early Pension Withdrawals and Reduced Deposit

Published: November 3, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.01133v1

By: Hamza Hanbali, Gaurav Khemka, Himasha Warnakulasooriya

Potential Business Impact:

Makes houses more expensive, hurting poor buyers.

Business Areas:
Banking Financial Services, Lending and Investments

The paper analyzes two government policies affecting housing demand: early withdrawal from pension savings (EW), and reduction of loan deposit (RD). A model incorporating demand feedback on housing prices using Australian data shows both policies raise prices in the short run. RD delays or prevents access for low-income households, particularly in supply-constrained markets. EW improves accessibility across groups and is most efficient when full withdrawal is permitted, but can reduce retirement security if pension grows faster than property prices. The results also indicate that unequal outcomes stem not from price surges themselves but from pre-existing market disparities.

Country of Origin
🇦🇺 Australia

Page Count
38 pages

Category
Economics:
General Economics