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High-Dimensional Spatial Arbitrage Pricing Theory with Heterogeneous Interactions

Published: November 3, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.01271v1

By: Zhaoxing Gao, Sihan Tu, Ruey S. Tsay

Potential Business Impact:

Helps predict stock prices better with location.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

This paper investigates estimation and inference of a Spatial Arbitrage Pricing Theory (SAPT) model that integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis, accommodating both observable and latent factors. Building on the classical mean-variance analysis, we introduce a class of Spatial Capital Asset Pricing Models (SCAPM) that account for spatial effects in high-dimensional assets, where we define {\it spatial rho} as a counterpart to market beta in CAPM. We then extend SCAPM to a general SAPT framework under a {\it complete} market setting by incorporating multiple factors. For SAPT with observable factors, we propose a generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation method that integrates ridge regression to estimate spatial and factor coefficients. When factors are latent, we first apply an autocovariance-based eigenanalysis to extract factors, then employ the SYW method using the estimated factors. We establish asymptotic properties for these estimators under high-dimensional settings where both the dimension and sample size diverge. Finally, we use simulated and real data examples to demonstrate the efficacy and usefulness of the proposed model and method.

Page Count
48 pages

Category
Economics:
Econometrics