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From data to design: Random forest regression model for predicting mechanical properties of alloy steel

Published: November 4, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.02290v1

By: Samjukta Sinha, Prabhat Das

Potential Business Impact:

Predicts metal strength from its ingredients.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

This study investigates the application of Random Forest Regression for predicting mechanical properties of alloy steel-Elongation, Tensile Strength, and Yield Strength-from material composition features including Iron (Fe), Chromium (Cr), Nickel (Ni), Manganese (Mn), Silicon (Si), Copper (Cu), Carbon (C), and deformation percentage during cold rolling. Utilizing a dataset comprising these features, we trained and evaluated the Random Forest model, achieving high predictive performance as evidenced by R2 scores and Mean Squared Errors (MSE). The results demonstrate the model's efficacy in providing accurate predictions, which is validated through various performance metrics including residual plots and learning curves. The findings underscore the potential of ensemble learning techniques in enhancing material property predictions, with implications for industrial applications in material science.

Page Count
7 pages

Category
Condensed Matter:
Materials Science