Robust optimal consumption, investment and reinsurance for recursive preferences
By: Elizabeth Dadzie, Wilfried Kuissi-Kamdem, Marcel Ndengo
Potential Business Impact:
Helps insurance companies make better money and risk choices.
This paper investigates a robust optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance problem for an insurer with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences operating under model uncertainty. The insurer's surplus follows the diffusion approximation of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, and the insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance. Model ambiguity is characterised by a class of equivalent probability measures, and the insurer, being ambiguity-averse, aims to maximise utility under the worst-case scenario. By solving the associated coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE), we derive closed-form solutions for the optimal strategies and the value function. Our analysis reveals how ambiguity aversion, risk aversion, and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) influence the optimal policies. Numerical experiments illustrate the effects of key parameters, showing that optimal consumption decreases with higher risk aversion and EIS, while investment and reinsurance strategies are co-dependent on both financial and insurance market parameters, even without correlation. This study provides a comprehensive framework for insurers to manage capital allocation and risk transfer under deep uncertainty.
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