Predictive Compensation in Finite-Horizon LQ Games under Gauss-Markov Deviations
By: Navid Mojahed, Mahdis Rabbani, Shima Nazari
Potential Business Impact:
Predicts and fixes game player mistakes before they happen.
This paper presents a predictive compensation framework for finite-horizon discrete-time linear quadratic dynamic games in the presence of Gauss-Markov deviations from feedback Nash strategies. One player experiences correlated stochastic deviations, modeled via a first-order autoregressive process, while the other compensates using a predictive strategy that anticipates the effect of future correlation. Closed-form recursions for mean and covariance propagation are derived, and the resulting performance improvement is analyzed through the sensitivity of expected cost.
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