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Predictive Compensation in Finite-Horizon LQ Games under Gauss-Markov Deviations

Published: October 31, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.03744v1

By: Navid Mojahed, Mahdis Rabbani, Shima Nazari

Potential Business Impact:

Predicts and fixes game player mistakes before they happen.

Business Areas:
Prediction Markets Financial Services

This paper presents a predictive compensation framework for finite-horizon discrete-time linear quadratic dynamic games in the presence of Gauss-Markov deviations from feedback Nash strategies. One player experiences correlated stochastic deviations, modeled via a first-order autoregressive process, while the other compensates using a predictive strategy that anticipates the effect of future correlation. Closed-form recursions for mean and covariance propagation are derived, and the resulting performance improvement is analyzed through the sensitivity of expected cost.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Page Count
10 pages

Category
Electrical Engineering and Systems Science:
Systems and Control