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Simulation-Based Fitting of Intractable Models via Sequential Sampling and Local Smoothing

Published: November 11, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.08180v1

By: Guido Masarotto

Potential Business Impact:

Helps computers learn from complex, unknown models.

Business Areas:
Simulation Software

This paper presents a comprehensive algorithm for fitting generative models whose likelihood, moments, and other quantities typically used for inference are not analytically or numerically tractable. The proposed method aims to provide a general solution that requires only limited prior information on the model parameters. The algorithm combines a global search phase, aimed at identifying the region of the solution, with a local search phase that mimics a trust region version of the Fisher scoring algorithm for computing a quasi-likelihood estimator. Comparisons with alternative methods demonstrate the strong performance of the proposed approach. An R package implementing the algorithm is available on CRAN.

Page Count
23 pages

Category
Statistics:
Methodology