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Talagrand's convolution conjecture up to loglog via perturbed reverse heat

Published: November 24, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2511.19374v1

By: Yuansi Chen

Potential Business Impact:

Makes guessing better for computers.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

We prove that under the heat semigroup $(P_τ)$ on the Boolean hypercube, any nonnegative function $f: \{-1,1\}^n \to \mathbb{R}_+$ exhibits a uniform tail bound that is better than that by Markov's inequality. Specifically, for any $η> e^3$ and $τ> 0$, \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}_{X \sim μ}\left( P_τf(X) > η\int f dμ\right) \leq c_τ\frac{ \log \log η}{η\sqrt{\log η}}, \end{align*} where $μ$ is the uniform measure on the Boolean hypercube $\{-1,1\}^n$ and $c_τ$ is a constant that only depends on $τ$. This resolves Talagrand's convolution conjecture up to a dimension-free $\log\log η$ factor. Its proof relies on properties of the reverse heat process on the Boolean hypercube and a coupling construction based on carefully engineered perturbations of this reverse heat process.

Page Count
30 pages

Category
Mathematics:
Probability