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On Global Applicability and Location Transferability of Generative Deep Learning Models for Precipitation Downscaling

Published: December 1, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.01400v1

By: Paula Harder , Christian Lessig , Matthew Chantry and more

Potential Business Impact:

Makes weather forecasts work everywhere.

Business Areas:
Predictive Analytics Artificial Intelligence, Data and Analytics, Software

Deep learning offers promising capabilities for the statistical downscaling of climate and weather forecasts, with generative approaches showing particular success in capturing fine-scale precipitation patterns. However, most existing models are region-specific, and their ability to generalize to unseen geographic areas remains largely unexplored. In this study, we evaluate the generalization performance of generative downscaling models across diverse regions. Using a global framework, we employ ERA5 reanalysis data as predictors and IMERG precipitation estimates at $0.1^\circ$ resolution as targets. A hierarchical location-based data split enables a systematic assessment of model performance across 15 regions around the world.

Page Count
10 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Machine Learning (CS)