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Differential ML with a Difference

Published: December 4, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.05301v1

By: Paul Glasserman, Siddharth Hemant Karmarkar

Potential Business Impact:

Helps computers price tricky financial bets better.

Business Areas:
Prediction Markets Financial Services

Differential ML (Huge and Savine 2020) is a technique for training neural networks to provide fast approximations to complex simulation-based models for derivatives pricing and risk management. It uses price sensitivities calculated through pathwise adjoint differentiation to reduce pricing and hedging errors. However, for options with discontinuous payoffs, such as digital or barrier options, the pathwise sensitivities are biased, and incorporating them into the loss function can magnify errors. We consider alternative methods for estimating sensitivities and find that they can substantially reduce test errors in prices and in their sensitivities. Using differential labels calculated through the likelihood ratio method expands the scope of Differential ML to discontinuous payoffs. A hybrid method incorporates gamma estimates as well as delta estimates, providing further regularization.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Repos / Data Links

Page Count
15 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Pricing of Securities