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Debiased Bayesian Inference for High-dimensional Regression Models

Published: December 10, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.09257v1

By: Qihui Chen, Zheng Fang, Ruixuan Liu

Potential Business Impact:

Fixes math models so they are more trustworthy.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

There has been significant progress in Bayesian inference based on sparsity-inducing (e.g., spike-and-slab and horseshoe-type) priors for high-dimensional regression models. The resulting posteriors, however, in general do not possess desirable frequentist properties, and the credible sets thus cannot serve as valid confidence sets even asymptotically. We introduce a novel debiasing approach that corrects the bias for the entire Bayesian posterior distribution. We establish a new Bernstein-von Mises theorem that guarantees the frequentist validity of the debiased posterior. We demonstrate the practical performance of our proposal through Monte Carlo simulations and two empirical applications in economics.

Country of Origin
πŸ‡­πŸ‡° πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States, Hong Kong

Page Count
53 pages

Category
Economics:
Econometrics