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A Simulation Framework for Studying Recommendation-Network Co-evolution in Social Platforms

Published: December 10, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.10106v1

By: Gaurav Koley, Sanika Digrajkar

Potential Business Impact:

Shows how online suggestions change friendships.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

Studying how recommendation systems reshape social networks is difficult on live platforms: confounds abound, and controlled experiments risk user harm. We present an agent-based simulator where content production, tie formation, and a graph attention network (GAT) recommender co-evolve in a closed loop. We calibrate parameters using Mastodon data and validate out-of-sample against Bluesky (4--6\% error on structural metrics; 10--15\% on held-out temporal splits). Across 18 configurations at 100 agents, we find that \emph{activation timing} affects outcomes: introducing recommendations at $t=10$ vs.\ $t=40$ decreases transitivity by 10\% while engagement differs by $<$8\%. Delaying activation increases content diversity by 9\% while reducing modularity by 4\%. Scaling experiments ($n$ up to 5,000) show the effect persists but attenuates. Jacobian analysis confirms local stability under bounded reactance parameters. We release configuration schemas and reproduction scripts.

Country of Origin
🇺🇸 United States

Page Count
11 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Social and Information Networks