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On the bias of the Gini estimator: Poisson and geometric cases, a characterization of the gamma family, and unbiasedness under gamma distributions

Published: December 17, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.14983v2

By: Roberto Vila, Helton Saulo

Potential Business Impact:

Fixes math for fairer income measuring.

Business Areas:
A/B Testing Data and Analytics

In this paper, we derive a general representation for the expectation of the Gini coefficient estimator in terms of the Laplace transform of the underlying distribution, together with the mean and the Gini coefficient of its exponentially tilted version. This representation leads to a new characterization of the gamma family within the class of nonnegative scale families, based on a stability property under exponential tilting. As direct applications, we show that the Gini estimator is biased for both Poisson and geometric populations and provide an alternative, unified proof of its unbiasedness for gamma populations. By using the derived bias expressions, we propose plug-in bias-corrected estimators and assess their finite-sample performance through a Monte Carlo study, which demonstrates substantial improvements over the original estimator. Compared with existing approaches, our framework highlights the fundamental role of scale invariance and exponential tilting, rather than distribution-specific algebraic calculations, and complements recent results in Baydil et al. (2025) [Unbiased estimation of the gini coefficient. SPL, 222:110376] and Vila and Saulo (2025a,b) [Bias in Gini coefficient estimation for gamma mixture populations. STPA, 66:1-18; and The mth gini index estimator: Unbiasedness for gamma populations. J. Econ. Inequal].

Page Count
13 pages

Category
Statistics:
Methodology