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Uncertainty in security: managing cyber senescence

Published: December 24, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.21251v1

By: Martijn Dekker

Potential Business Impact:

Makes computer security less risky by removing old parts.

Business Areas:
Security Privacy and Security

My main worry, and the core of my research, is that our cybersecurity ecosystem is slowly but surely aging and getting old and that aging is becoming an operational risk. This is happening not only because of growing complexity, but more importantly because of accumulation of controls and measures whose effectiveness are uncertain. I introduce a new term for this aging phenomenon: cyber senescence. I will begin my lecture with a short historical overview in which I sketch a development over time that led to this worry for the future of cybersecurity. It is this worry that determined my research agenda and its central theme of the role of uncertainty in cybersecurity. My worry is that waste is accumulating in cyberspace. This waste consists of a multitude of overlapping controls whose risk reductions are uncertain. Unless we start pruning these control frameworks, this waste accumulation causes aging of cyberspace and could ultimately lead to a system collapse.

Page Count
14 pages

Category
Computer Science:
Cryptography and Security