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Mean-Field Price Formation on Trees with a Network of Relative Performance Concerns

Published: December 25, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.21621v1

By: Masaaki Fujii

Potential Business Impact:

Helps investors make smarter money choices.

Business Areas:
Prediction Markets Financial Services

Financial firms and institutional investors are routinely evaluated based on their performance relative to their peers. These relative performance concerns significantly influence risk-taking behavior and market dynamics. While the literature studying Nash equilibrium under such relative performance competitions is extensive, its effect on asset price formation remains largely unexplored. This paper investigates mean-field equilibrium price formation of a single risky stock in a discrete-time market where agents exhibit exponential utility and relative performance concerns. Unlike existing literature that typically treats asset prices as exogenous, we impose a market-clearing condition to determine the price dynamics endogenously within a relative performance equilibrium. Using a binomial tree framework, we establish the existence and uniqueness of the market-clearing mean-field equilibrium in both single- and multi-population settings. Finally, we provide illustrative numerical examples demonstrating the equilibrium price distributions and agents' optimal position sizes.

Country of Origin
🇯🇵 Japan

Page Count
43 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Mathematical Finance