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Squeezed Covariance Matrix Estimation: Analytic Eigenvalue Control

Published: December 28, 2025 | arXiv ID: 2512.23021v1

By: Layla Abu Khalaf, William Smyth

Potential Business Impact:

Makes stock portfolios safer and more profitable.

Business Areas:
Quantified Self Biotechnology, Data and Analytics

We revisit Gerber's Informational Quality (IQ) framework, a data-driven approach for constructing correlation matrices from co-movement evidence, and address two obstacles that limit its use in portfolio optimization: guaranteeing positive semidefinite ness (PSD) and controlling spectral conditioning. We introduce a squeezing identity that represents IQ estimators as a convex-like combination of structured channel matrices, and propose an atomic-IQ parameterization in which each channel-class matrix is built from PSD atoms with a single class-level normalization. This yields constructive PSD guarantees over an explicit feasibility region, avoiding reliance on ex-post projection. To regulate conditioning, we develop an analytic eigen floor that targets either a minimum eigenvalue or a desired condition number and, when necessary, repairs PSD violations in closed form while remaining compatible with the squeezing identity. In long-only tangency back tests with transaction costs, atomic-IQ improves out-of-sample Sharpe ratios and delivers a more stable risk profile relative to a broad set of standard covariance estimators.

Country of Origin
🇬🇧 United Kingdom

Page Count
46 pages

Category
Quantitative Finance:
Portfolio Management